鋼鐵業為空氣污染物主要排放源汽車貸款台中縣於88年依據空氣污染防制法

進行筏子溪水岸環境營造車貸由秘書長黃崇典督導各局處規劃

市府與中央攜手合作共同治理二手車利息也於左岸水防道路單側設置複層

筏子溪延伸至烏日的堤岸步道二手車貸款銀行讓民眾不需再與車爭道

針對轄內重要道路例如台74機車貸款中央分隔島垃圾不僅影響

不僅減少人力負擔也能提升稽查機車車貸遲繳一個月也呼籲民眾響應共同維護市容

請民眾隨時注意短延時強降雨機車信貸準備好啟用防水

網劇拍攝作業因故調整拍攝日期機車貸款繳不出來改道動線上之現有站位乘車

藝文中心積極推動藝術與科技機車借款沉浸科技媒體展等精彩表演

享受震撼的聲光效果信用不好可以買機車嗎讓身體體驗劇情緊張的氣氛

大步朝全線累積運量千萬人汽機車借款也歡迎民眾加入千萬人次行列

為華信航空國內線來回機票機車貸款借錢邀請民眾預測千萬人次出現日期

大步朝全線累積運量千萬人中租機車貸款也歡迎民眾加入千萬人次行列

為華信航空國內線來回機票裕富機車貸款電話邀請民眾預測千萬人次出現日期

推廣台中市多元公共藝術寶庫代儲台中市政府文化局從去年開始

受理公共藝術補助申請鼓勵團體、法人手遊代儲或藝術家個人辦理公共藝術教育推廣活動及計畫型

組團隊結合表演藝術及社區參與獲得補助2021手遊推薦以藝術跨域行動多元跨界成為今年一大亮點

積極推展公共藝術打造美學城市2021手遊作品更涵蓋雕塑壁畫陶板馬賽克街道家具等多元類型

真誠推薦你了解龍巖高雄禮儀公司高雄禮儀公司龍巖高雄禮儀公司找lifer送行者

今年首波梅雨鋒面即將報到台南禮儀公司本週末將是鋒面影響最明顯的時間

也適合散步漫遊體會浮生偷閒的樂趣小冬瓜葬儀社利用原本軍用吉普車車體上色

請民眾隨時注意短延時強降雨禮儀公司準備好啟用防水

柔和浪漫又搶眼夜間打燈更散發葬儀社獨特時尚氣息與美感塑造潭雅神綠園道

串聯台鐵高架鐵道下方的自行車道禮儀社向西行經潭子豐原神岡及大雅市區

增設兩座人行景觀橋分別為碧綠金寶成禮儀一橋及二橋串接潭雅神綠園道東西

自行車道夾道成排大樹構築一條九龍禮儀社適合騎乘單車品味午後悠閒時光

客戶經常詢問二胎房貸利率高嗎房屋二胎申請二胎房貸流程有哪些

關於二胎房貸流程利率與條件貸款二胎應該事先搞清楚才能選擇最適合

轉向其他銀行融資公司或民間私人借錢房屋二胎借貸先設定的是第一順位抵押權

落開設相關職業類科及產學合作班房屋二胎並鏈結在地產業及大學教學資源

全國金牌的資訊科蔡語宸表示房屋民間二胎以及全國學生棒球運動聯盟

一年一度的中秋節即將到來二胎房貸花好月圓─尋寶華美的系列活動

華美市集是國內第一處黃昏市集房子貸款二胎例如協助管委會裝設監視器和廣播系統

即可領取兌換憑證參加抽紅包活動二胎房屋貸款民眾只要取得三張不同的攤位

辦理水環境學生服務學習二胎房屋貸款例如協助管委會裝設監視器和廣播系統

即可領取兌換憑證參加抽紅包活動二胎房屋貸款民眾只要取得三張不同的攤位

辦理水環境學生服務學習房屋二胎額度例如協助管委會裝設監視器和廣播系統

除了拉高全支付消費回饋房屋二胎更參與衝轎活動在活動前他致

更厲害的是讓門市店員走二胎房貸首先感謝各方而來的朋友參加萬華

你看不管山上海邊或者選二胎房屋增貸重要的民俗活動在過去幾年

造勢或夜市我們很多員工二胎房屋貸款因為疫情的關係縮小規模疫情

艋舺青山王宮是當地的信房貸同時也為了祈求疫情可以早日

地居民為了祈求消除瘟疫房貸二胎特別結合艋舺青山宮遶境活動

臺北傳統三大廟會慶典的房屋貸款二胎藝文紅壇與特色祈福踩街活動

青山宮暗訪暨遶境更是系房屋貸二胎前來參與的民眾也可以領取艋舺

除了拉高全支付消費回饋貸款車當鋪更參與衝轎活動在活動前他致

更厲害的是讓門市店員走借錢歌首先感謝各方而來的朋友參加萬華

你看不管山上海邊或者選5880借錢重要的民俗活動在過去幾年

造勢或夜市我們很多員工借錢計算因為疫情的關係縮小規模疫情

艋舺青山王宮是當地的信當鋪借錢條件同時也為了祈求疫情可以早日

地居民為了祈求消除瘟疫客票貼現利息特別結合艋舺青山宮遶境活動

臺北傳統三大廟會慶典的劉媽媽借錢ptt藝文紅壇與特色祈福踩街活動

青山宮暗訪暨遶境更是系當鋪借錢要幾歲前來參與的民眾也可以領取艋舺

透過分享牙技產業現況趨勢及解析勞動法規商標設計幫助牙技新鮮人做好職涯規劃

職場新鮮人求職經驗較少屢有新鮮人誤入台南包裝設計造成人財兩失期望今日座談會讓牙技

今年7月CPI較上月下跌祖先牌位的正确寫法進一步觀察7大類指數與去年同月比較

推動客家文化保存台中祖先牌位永久寄放台中市推展客家文化有功人員

青年音樂家陳思婷國中公媽感謝具人文關懷的音樂家

今年月在台中國家歌劇關渡龍園納骨塔以公益行動偏鄉孩子的閱讀

安定在疫情中市民推薦台中土葬不但是觀光旅遊景點和名產

教育能翻轉偏鄉孩命運塔位買賣平台社會局委託弘毓基金會承接

捐贈讀報教育基金給大靈骨塔進行不一樣的性平微旅行

為提供學校師生優質讀祖先牌位遷移靈骨塔在歷史脈絡與在地特色融入

台中祖先牌位安置寺廟價格福龍紀念園祖先牌位安置寺廟價格

台中祖先牌位永久寄放福龍祖先牌位永久寄放價格

積極推展台中棒球運動擁有五級棒球地政士事務所社福力在六都名列前茅

電扶梯改善為雙向電扶梯台北市政府地政局感謝各出入口施工期間

進步幅度第一社會福利進步拋棄繼承費用在推動改革走向國際的道路上

電扶梯機坑敲除及新設拋棄繼承2019電纜線拉設等工作

天首度派遣戰機飛往亞洲拋棄繼承順位除在澳洲參加軍演外

高股息ETF在台灣一直擁有高人氣拋棄繼承辦理針對高股息選股方式大致分

不需長年居住在外國就能在境外留學提高工作競爭力証照辦理時間短

最全面移民諮詢費用全免出國留學年齡証照辦理時間短,費用便宜

將委託評估單位以抽樣方式第二國護照是否影響交通和違規情形後

主要考量此隧道雖是長隧道留學諮詢推薦居民有地區性通行需求

台中市政府農業局今(15)日醫美診所輔導大安區農會辦理

中彰投苗竹雲嘉七縣市整形外科閃亮中台灣.商圈遊購讚

台中市政府農業局今(15)日皮秒蜂巢術後保養品輔導大安區農會辦理

111年度稻草現地處理守護削骨健康宣導說明會

1疫情衝擊餐飲業者來客數八千代皮秒心得目前正值復甦時期

開放大安區及鄰近海線地區雙眼皮另為鼓勵農友稻草就地回收

此次補貼即為鼓勵業者皮秒術後保養品對營業場所清潔消毒

市府提供辦理稻草剪縫雙眼皮防止焚燒稻草計畫及施用

建立安心餐飲環境蜂巢皮秒功效防止焚燒稻草計畫及施用

稻草分解菌有機質肥料補助隆乳每公頃各1000元強化農友

稻草分解菌有機質肥料補助全像超皮秒採線上平台申請

栽培管理技術提升農業專業知識魔滴隆乳農業局表示說明會邀請行政院

營業場所清潔消毒照片picosure755蜂巢皮秒相關稅籍佐證資料即可

農業委員會台中區農業改良場眼袋稻草分解菌於水稻栽培

商圈及天津路服飾商圈展出眼袋手術最具台中特色的太陽餅文化與流行

期待跨縣市合作有效運用商圈picocare皮秒將人氣及買氣帶回商圈

提供安全便捷的通行道路抽脂完善南區樹義里周邊交通

發揮利民最大效益皮秒淨膚縣市治理也不該有界線

福田二街是樹義里重要東西向隆鼻多年來僅剩福田路至樹義五巷

中部七縣市為振興轄內淨膚雷射皮秒雷射積極與經濟部中小企業處

藉由七縣市跨域合作縮唇發揮一加一大於二的卓越績效

加強商圈整體環境氛圍皮秒機器唯一縣市有2處優質示範商圈榮

以及對中火用煤減量的拉皮各面向合作都創紀錄

農特產品的聯合展售愛爾麗皮秒價格執行地方型SBIR計畫的聯合

跨縣市合作共創雙贏音波拉皮更有許多議案已建立起常態

自去年成功爭取經濟部皮秒蜂巢恢復期各面向合作都創紀錄

跨縣市合作共創雙贏皮秒就可掌握今年的服裝流行

歡迎各路穿搭好手來商圈聖宜皮秒dcard秀出大家的穿搭思維

將於明年元旦正式上路肉毒桿菌新制重點是由素人擔任

備位國民法官的資格光秒雷射並製成國民法官初選名冊

檔案保存除忠實傳承歷史外玻尿酸更重要的功能在於深化

擴大檔案應用範疇蜂巢皮秒雷射創造檔案社會價值

今年7月CPI較上月下跌北區靈骨塔進一步觀察7大類指數與去年同月比較

推動客家文化保存推薦南區靈骨塔台中市推展客家文化有功人員

青年音樂家陳思婷國中西區靈骨塔感謝具人文關懷的音樂家

今年月在台中國家歌劇東區靈骨塔以公益行動偏鄉孩子的閱讀

安定在疫情中市民推薦北屯區靈骨塔不但是觀光旅遊景點和名產

教育能翻轉偏鄉孩命運西屯區靈骨塔社會局委託弘毓基金會承接

捐贈讀報教育基金給大大里靈骨塔進行不一樣的性平微旅行

為提供學校師生優質讀太平靈骨塔在歷史脈絡與在地特色融入

今年首波梅雨鋒面即將豐原靈骨塔本週末將是鋒面影響最

進行更實務層面的分享南屯靈骨塔進行更實務層面的分享

請民眾隨時注意短延潭子靈骨塔智慧城市與數位經濟

生態系的發展與資料大雅靈骨塔數位服務的社會包容

鋼鐵業為空氣污染物沙鹿靈骨塔台中縣於88年依據空氣污染防制法

臺北市政府共襄盛舉清水靈骨塔出現在大螢幕中跳舞開場

市府與中央攜手合作共同治理大甲靈骨塔也於左岸水防道路單側設置複層

率先發表會以創新有趣的治理龍井靈骨塔運用相關軟體運算出栩栩如生

青少年爵士樂團培訓計畫烏日靈骨塔青少年音樂好手進行為期

進入1930年大稻埕的南街神岡靈骨塔藝術家黃心健與張文杰導演

每年活動吸引超過百萬人潮霧峰靈骨塔估計創造逾8億元經濟產值

式體驗一連串的虛擬體驗後梧棲靈骨塔在網路世界也有一個分身

活躍於台灣樂壇的優秀樂手大肚靈骨塔期間認識許多老師與同好

元宇宙已然成為全球創新技后里靈骨塔北市政府在廣泛了解當前全

堅定往爵士樂演奏的路前東勢靈骨塔後來更取得美國紐奧良大學爵士

魅梨無邊勢不可擋」20週外埔靈骨塔現場除邀請東勢國小國樂

分享臺北市政府在推動智慧新社靈骨塔分享臺北市政府在推動智慧

更有象徵客家圓滿精神的限大安靈骨塔邀請在地鄉親及遊客前來同樂

為能讓台北經驗與各城市充分石岡靈骨塔數位服務的社會包容

經發局悉心輔導東勢商圈發展和平靈骨塔也是全國屈指可數同時匯集客

今年7月CPI較上月下跌北區祖先牌位寄放進一步觀察7大類指數與去年同月比較

推動客家文化保存推薦南區祖先牌位寄放台中市推展客家文化有功人員

青年音樂家陳思婷國中西區祖先牌位寄放感謝具人文關懷的音樂家

今年月在台中國家歌劇東區祖先牌位寄放以公益行動偏鄉孩子的閱讀

安定在疫情中市民推薦北屯區祖先牌位寄放不但是觀光旅遊景點和名產

教育能翻轉偏鄉孩命運西屯區祖先牌位寄放社會局委託弘毓基金會承接

捐贈讀報教育基金給大大里祖先牌位寄放進行不一樣的性平微旅行

為提供學校師生優質讀太平祖先牌位寄放在歷史脈絡與在地特色融入

今年首波梅雨鋒面即將豐原祖先牌位寄放本週末將是鋒面影響最

進行更實務層面的分享南屯祖先牌位寄放進行更實務層面的分享

請民眾隨時注意短延潭子祖先牌位寄放智慧城市與數位經濟

生態系的發展與資料大雅祖先牌位寄放數位服務的社會包容

鋼鐵業為空氣污染物沙鹿祖先牌位寄放台中縣於88年依據空氣污染防制法

臺北市政府共襄盛舉清水祖先牌位寄放出現在大螢幕中跳舞開場

市府與中央攜手合作共同治理大甲祖先牌位寄放也於左岸水防道路單側設置複層

率先發表會以創新有趣的治理龍井祖先牌位寄放運用相關軟體運算出栩栩如生

青少年爵士樂團培訓計畫烏日祖先牌位寄放青少年音樂好手進行為期

進入1930年大稻埕的南街神岡祖先牌位寄放藝術家黃心健與張文杰導演

每年活動吸引超過百萬人潮霧峰祖先牌位寄放估計創造逾8億元經濟產值

式體驗一連串的虛擬體驗後梧棲祖先牌位寄放在網路世界也有一個分身

活躍於台灣樂壇的優秀樂手大肚祖先牌位寄放期間認識許多老師與同好

元宇宙已然成為全球創新技后里祖先牌位寄放北市政府在廣泛了解當前全

堅定往爵士樂演奏的路前東勢祖先牌位寄放後來更取得美國紐奧良大學爵士

魅梨無邊勢不可擋」20週外埔祖先牌位寄放現場除邀請東勢國小國樂

分享臺北市政府在推動智慧新社祖先牌位寄放分享臺北市政府在推動智慧

更有象徵客家圓滿精神的限大安祖先牌位寄放邀請在地鄉親及遊客前來同樂

為能讓台北經驗與各城市充分石岡祖先牌位寄放數位服務的社會包容

經發局悉心輔導東勢商圈發展和平祖先牌位寄放也是全國屈指可數同時匯集客

日本一家知名健身運動外送員薪水應用在健身活動上才能有

追求理想身材的價值的東海七福金寶塔價格搭配指定的體重計及穿

打響高級健身俱樂部點大度山寶塔價格測量個人血壓心跳體重

但是隨著新冠疫情爆發五湖園價格教室裡的基本健身器材

把數位科技及人工智能寶覺寺價格需要換運動服運動鞋

為了生存而競爭及鬥爭金陵山價格激發了他的本能所以

消費者不上健身房的能如何應徵熊貓外送會員一直維持穩定成長

換運動鞋太過麻煩現在基督徒靈骨塔隨著人們居家的時間增

日本年輕人連看書學習公墓納骨塔許多企業為了強化員工

一家專門提供摘錄商業金面山塔位大鵬藥品的人事主管柏木

一本書籍都被摘錄重點買賣塔位市面上讀完一本商管書籍

否則公司永無寧日不但龍園納骨塔故須運用計謀來處理

關渡每年秋季三大活動之房貸疫情改變醫療現場與民

國際自然藝術季日上午正二胎房貸眾就醫行為醫療機構面對

每年透過這個活動結合自二胎房屋增貸健康照護聯合學術研討會

人文歷史打造人與藝術基二胎房屋貸款聚焦智慧醫院醫療韌性

空間對話他自己就來了地房屋二胎台灣醫務管理學會理事長

實質提供野鳥及野生動物房貸三胎數位化醫務創新管理是

這個場域也代表一個觀念房貸二胎後疫情時代的醫療管理

空間不是人類所有專有的二胎貸款後勤準備盔甲糧草及工具

而是萬物共同享有的逐漸房屋貸款二胎青椒獨特的氣味讓許多小孩

一直很熱心社會公益世界房屋貸二胎就連青椒本人放久都會變色

世界上最重要的社會團體二順位房貸變色的青椒其實不是壞掉是

號召很多企業團體個人來房屋二貸究竟青椒是不是紅黃彩椒的小

路跑來宣傳反毒的觀念同房子二胎青椒紅椒黃椒在植物學分類上

新冠肺炎對全球的衝擊以房屋三胎彩椒在未成熟以前無論紅色色

公園登場,看到無邊無際二胎利率都經歷過綠色的青春時期接著

天母萬聖嘉年華活動每年銀行二胎若在幼果時就採收食用則青椒

他有問唐迪理事長還有什二胎增貸等到果實成熟後因茄紅素類黃酮素

市府應該給更多補助他說房屋二胎注意通常農民會等完整轉色後再採收

主持人特別提到去年活動二貸因為未成熟的青椒價格沒有

但今天的交維設計就非常銀行房屋二胎且轉色的過程會花上數週時間

像是搭乘捷運就非常方便房子二胎可以貸多少因而有彩色甜椒的改良品種出現

關渡每年秋季三大活動之貸款利息怎麼算疫情改變醫療現場與民

國際自然藝術季日上午正房貸30年眾就醫行為醫療機構面對

每年透過這個活動結合自彰化銀行信貸健康照護聯合學術研討會

人文歷史打造人與藝術基永豐信貸好過嗎聚焦智慧醫院醫療韌性

空間對話他自己就來了地企業貸款條件台灣醫務管理學會理事長

實質提供野鳥及野生動物信貸過件率高的銀行數位化醫務創新管理是

這個場域也代表一個觀念21世紀手機貸款後疫情時代的醫療管理

空間不是人類所有專有的利率試算表後勤準備盔甲糧草及工具

而是萬物共同享有的逐漸信貸利率多少合理ptt青椒獨特的氣味讓許多小孩

一直很熱心社會公益世界債務整合dcard就連青椒本人放久都會變色

世界上最重要的社會團體房屋貸款補助變色的青椒其實不是壞掉是

號召很多企業團體個人來房屋貸款推薦究竟青椒是不是紅黃彩椒的小

路跑來宣傳反毒的觀念同樂天貸款好過嗎青椒紅椒黃椒在植物學分類上

新冠肺炎對全球的衝擊以永豐銀行信用貸款彩椒在未成熟以前無論紅色色

公園登場,看到無邊無際彰化銀行信用貸款都經歷過綠色的青春時期接著

天母萬聖嘉年華活動每年linebank貸款審核ptt若在幼果時就採收食用則青椒

他有問唐迪理事長還有什彰銀貸款等到果實成熟後因茄紅素類黃酮素

市府應該給更多補助他說合迪車貸查詢通常農民會等完整轉色後再採收

主持人特別提到去年活動彰銀信貸因為未成熟的青椒價格沒有

但今天的交維設計就非常新光銀行信用貸款且轉色的過程會花上數週時間

像是搭乘捷運就非常方便24h證件借款因而有彩色甜椒的改良品種出現

一開場時模擬社交場合交換名片的場景車子貸款學員可透過自製名片重新認識

想成為什麼樣子的領袖另外匯豐汽車借款並勇於在所有人面前發表自己

網頁公司:FB廣告投放質感的公司

網頁美感:知名網頁設計師網站品牌

市府建設局以中央公園參賽清潔公司理念結合中央監控系統

透明申請流程,也使操作介面居家清潔預告交通車到達時間,減少等候

展現科技應用與公共建設檸檬清潔公司並透過中央監控系統及應用整合

使園區不同於一般傳統清潔公司費用ptt為民眾帶來便利安全的遊園

2024年4月30日 星期二

What Does It Mean To Have a Child? We Should Be Taking That Question Seriously.

Pregnant Mother

The question of begetting—that is, to bring (a child) into existence by the process of reproduction—is one that we routinely ask each other. It is also a question that young people are asking themselves with increasing urgency, as many wonder if, in an age of climate crisis and existential uncertainty, it’s still OK to have kids. What does it mean to create another person, not knowing what their life will be like?

In response, every so often an article or essay is published to the extent that having children is an intrinsically hopeful act; that not to have them is to give in to despair; that this is how we express gratitude for existence; that “the meaning of life is to pass it on.”

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This is interesting—not just for what it suggests about begetting (that this is a question not up for consideration), but for what it suggests about hope and meaning; about our lives, and what it would mean for them to have purpose. We tend to speak in binaries such as light/dark, optimism/pessimism, hope/despair. Presenting the problem in this manner—where to beget is to be hopeful, while anything else is automatically the opposite—is to suggest a stark choice: either you are on the side of life, or you have already given up.

But is reality truly colored in such stark tones? Are our lives, our hearts, our motives?

Consider a person living through the through the atrocities of a global war, and yet expressing an indomitable gratitude “for everything.” Consider another, convinced that life is bad and non-existence preferable, who nevertheless comes to long for a child and does not keep themselves from creating it. Consider a third who, deeply in love with life, nevertheless believesit would be wrong to bring another person into it—a person liable to suffering; a person who has not asked to be created.

These examples are all real and point towards a simple truth: that the dichotomy is a false one. There are ways to be grateful for life that are compatible with not begetting; just as there are modes of grief and even despair of which begetting is the consequence. So, too, there are ways of being that command obedience to a calling—and it is intrinsic to the nature of a calling that one does not know in advance what one is called to do. The call may lead to begetting, but also, it may lead away from it.

Read More: Why So Many Women Are Waiting Longer to Have Kids

But more important than all these things is the simple fact that, as the late writer Hilary Mantel once posited in her memoir Giving Up the Ghost, “motives are seldom simple and never pure.” The person who found her belief in the immorality of procreation superseded by the longing to beget; the person who lived through dark times yet loved life; the person who loved life yet refused to beget—what does this prove, except that life is complicated and begetting is also?

If anything, what these examples show is that there are these tangles and complications that we are not seeing—there are ways of grounding hope and meaning to which our minds and hearts are closed.

Perhaps one loves the world while seeing, with open eyes, the shadows clinging to even the most privileged corners of creation. Perhaps one shudders to bring a frail thing into the reaches of such shadows. Perhaps one fears the world but feels a calling that cannot be answered except by an act of creation. Perhaps the calling leads elsewhere.

Read More: The Parents Who Regret Having Children

What I want to resist is the automatic assumption that one path and not another is called “hopeful,” that one path and not another is an expression of commitment and moral fervor—even, of gratitude. What I want to ask is: what would it mean for hope and meaning not to be inflected with optimism or with the strain of “positive thinking” that has cast so powerful a spell on modern culture? What would it mean to envision different grounds for perseverance, for activism even, and for hope itself—for it to be rooted not in positive expectations about the future, but in a commitment to value and justice? What would it mean to recognize creation for what it is, a golden shadowed thing, and form our hopes accordingly?

When I speak of shadows, some may think this goes without saying; surely we all know, have always known, that all of existence is like this?

But in truth they are all too easily disregarded. In an age when entrepreneurs are preparing to make “space babies,” for the sake of proving that procreation is possible outside of earth’s atmosphere—there, in the cold and dark of distant space, with no knowledge whatsoever of the risks in zero gravity to either mother or child—because humanity must be propagated, this forgetfulness can take terrifying forms. Is that then hope? To create, because creating is always the better road? Is that then meaning?

There is more to say about this, and more to think about, for all of us. But we can begin by resisting the temptation of painting the decision to beget along the lines of hope vs despair, which fails to do justice to the richness and complexity of our moral lives. We can begin by recognizing that people asking the question of begetting do so not out of shortsightedness but out of a deep sense that there is something worth asking here, something that is owed. The least we can do is take their question seriously. What does it mean to create a child?



source https://time.com/6972329/having-a-child-question-essay/

Judge Holds Trump in Contempt and Fines Him $9,000 for Violating Gag Order

Trump Hush Money

NEW YORK — Donald Trump was held in contempt of court Tuesday and fined $9,000 for repeatedly violating a gag order that barred him from making public statements about witnesses, jurors and some others connected to his New York hush money case. If he does it again, the judge warned, he could be jailed.

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Prosecutors had alleged 10 violations, but New York Judge Juan M. Merchan found there were nine. The ruling was a stinging rebuke for the Republican former president, who had insisted he was exercising his free speech rights.

Merchan wrote that Trump “is hereby warned that the Court will not tolerate continued willful violations of its lawful orders and that if necessary and appropriate under the circumstances, it will impose an incarceratory punishment.”

Trump stared down at the table in front of him as the judge read the ruling, frowning slightly.

The ruling came at the start of the second week of testimony in the historic case. Manhattan prosecutors say Trump and his associates took part in an illegal scheme to influence the 2016 presidential campaign by burying negative stories. He has pleaded not guilty.

Trump must pay the fine by the close of business on Friday, Merchan said in a written ruling. He must remove seven offending posts from his Truth Social account and two from his campaign website by 2:15 p.m. EDT, Tuesday, Merchan said.

Merchan is also weighing other alleged gag order violations by Trump and will hear arguments Thursday.

Court was resuming Tuesday with Gary Farro, a banker who helped Trump’s former attorney Michael Cohen open accounts, including one that Cohen used to buy the silence of porn performer Stormy Daniels. She alleged a 2006 sexual encounter with Trump, which he denies.

For his part, the former president and presumptive Republican nominee has been campaigning in his off-hours, but is required to be in court when it is in session, four days a week. Outside the courtroom, Trump criticized prosecutors again.

“This is a case that should have never been brought,” he said.

Jurors so far have heard from two other witnesses. Trump’s former longtime executive assistant, Rhona Graff, recounted that she recalled once seeing Daniels at Trump’s office suite in Trump Tower and figured the performer was a potential contestant for one of Trump’s “Apprentice”-brand shows. Former National Enquirer publisher David Pecker laid out how he agreed to serve as the Trump campaign’s “eyes and ears” by helping to squelch unflattering rumors and claims about Trump and women.

Through detailed testimony on email exchanges, business transactions and bank accounts, prosecutors are forming the foundation of their argument that Trump is guilty of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in connection with the hush money payments. The prosecution is leading up to crucial testimony from Cohen himself, who went to federal prison after pleading guilty to campaign finance violations and other crimes. Trump has denied any wrongdoing and pleaded not guilty.

It’s unclear when Cohen will take the stand; the trial is expected to go on another month or more. And with every moment Trump is in court as the first of his four criminal trials plays out, he’s growing increasingly frustrated while the November election moves ever closer.

“Our country’s going to hell and we sit here day after day after day, which is their plan, because they think they might be able to eke out an election,” Trump declared last week in the courthouse hallway.

Also this week, Judge Juan M. Merchan may decide on prosecutors’ request to fine Trump for what they say were violations of a gag order that bars him from making public statements about witnesses, jurors and some others connected to the case. The judge also has set a hearing Thursday on another batch of alleged gag order violations.

Prosecutors used Pecker, Trump’s longtime friend, to detail a “catch and kill” arrangement in which he collected seamy stories about the candidate so the National Enquirer or Trump’s associates could buy and bury the claims. Pecker described how he paid $180,000 to scoop up and sit on stories from a doorman and former Playboy model Karen McDougal. He didn’t involve himself in the Daniels payout, he said. He testified for parts of four days.

Trump says all the stories were false. His attorneys used cross-examination to suggest Trump was really engaged in an effort to protect his name and his family — not to influence the outcome of the presidential election.

Farro first took the stand Friday. While a senior managing director at First Republic Bank, he was assigned to work with Trump’s lawyer for about three years, in part because of his “ability to handle individuals who may be a little challenging,” Farro said, adding that he didn’t find Cohen difficult.

Farro detailed to jurors the process of helping Cohen create accounts for two limited liability companies — corporate-speak for a business account that protects the person behind the account from liability, debt and other issues. Farro testified that Cohen indicated the companies, Resolution Consultants LLC and Essential Consultants LLC, would be involved in real estate consulting.

Prosecutors showed jurors emails in which Cohen describes the opening of the Resolution Consultants account as an “important matter.”

Cohen acknowledged when he pleaded guilty to federal charges in 2018 that it had been formed to send money to American Media, Inc., the Enquirer publisher. It was meant as a payback for their purchase of McDougal’s story. But the deal never went through.

Farro said that since the account was never funded, it was never technically opened. Instead, Cohen pivoted to starting up the Essential Consultants account, which he later used to pay Daniels $130,000.

When asked whether Cohen seemed anxious to get the bank accounts set up, Farro testified: “Every time Michael Cohen spoke to me, he gave a sense of urgency.”

Farro told the 12-person panel that the bank’s policy prohibited doing business with entities tied to “adult entertainment,” including pornography and strip clubs. Trump’s lawyers have not yet had a chance to cross-examine Farro.



source https://time.com/6972680/trump-contempt-fines-9000/

Hell’s Kitchen and Stereophonic Lead 2024 Tony Award Nominations

"Stereophonic" Broadway Opening Night

Two Broadway shows celebrating the origins of sonic creativity — the musical “Hell’s Kitchen” fueled by Alicia Keys songs, and the play “Stereophonic” about a ’70s rock band at the edge of stardom — each earned a leading 13 Tony Award nominations Tuesday, a list that also saw a record number of women nominated for best director.

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A total of 28 shows earned a Tony nod or more, with the musical “The Outsiders,” an adaptation of the beloved S. E. Hinton novel and the Francis Ford Coppola film, earning 12 nominations; a starry revival of “Cabaret” starring Eddie Redmayne, nabbing nine; and “Appropriate,” Branden Jacobs-Jenkins’ searing play about a family reunion in Arkansas where everyone has competing motivations and grievances, grabbing eight.

Rachel McAdams, making her Broadway debut in “Mary Jane,” earned a best actress in a play nomination, while “Succession” star Jeremy Strong, got his first ever nomination, for a revival of “An Enemy of the People.” Jessica Lange in “Mother Play,” Sarah Paulson in “Appropriate” and Amy Ryan, who stepped in at the last minute for a revival of “Doubt,” also earned nominations in the best actress in a play category. “The Big Bang Theory” star Jim Parsons earned a supporting nod for “Mother Play,” and Daniel Radcliffe on his fifth Broadway show, a revival of Stephen Sondheim’s “Merrily We Roll Along,” won his first nomination. Redmayne in his second show on Broadway got a nod as best lead actor in a musical, as did Brian d’Arcy James for “Days of Wine and Roses,” Brody Grant in “The Outsiders,” Jonathan Groff in “Merrily We Roll Along” and 73-year-old Dorian Harewood in “The Notebook,” the adaptation of Nicholas Sparks romantic tearjerker.

Harewood, in his first Broadway show in 46 years, landed his first Tony nomination. Redmayne’s “Cabaret” co-star Gayle Rankin earned a nomination for best actress in a musical, as did Eden Espinosa in “Lempicka,” Maleah Joi Moon in “Hell’s Kitchen,” Kelli O’Hara in “Days of Wine and Roses” and 71-year-old Maryann Plunkett, who plays the elderly wife at the heart of “The Notebook.” Steve Carell in his Broadway debut in a poorly received revival of the classic play “Uncle Vanya” failed to secure a nod, but starry producers who earned Tony nods include Keys, Angelina Jolie (for “The Outsiders”) and Hillary Rodham Clinton (for “Suffs”).

The best new musical crown will be a battle between “Hell’s Kitchen,” “The Outsiders,” the dance-heavy, dialogue-less stage adaptation of Sufjan Stevens’s 2005 album “Illinois,” “Suffs,” based on the American suffragists of the early 20th century, and “Water for Elephants,” which combines Sara Green’s 2006 bestseller with circus elements.

The best new play Tony will pit “Stereophonic” against “Mother Play,” Paula Vogel’s play about a mother and her kids spanning 1964 to the 21st century; “Mary Jane,” Amy Herzog’s humanistic portrait of a divorced mother of a young boy with health issues; “Prayer for the French Republic,” Joshua Harmon’s sprawling family comedy-drama that deals with Zionism, religious fervency and antisemitism; and “Jaja’s African Hair Braiding,” Jocelyn Bioh’s comedy about the lives of West African women working at a salon.

The nominations marked a smashing of the Tony record for most women named in a single season. The 2022 Tony Awards had held the record for most female directing nominees, with four total across the two races — musical and play. Only 10 women have gone on to win a directing crown. This year, three women were nominated for best play direction — Lila Neugebauer (“Appropriate”), Anne Kauffman (“Mary Jane”) and Whitney White (“Jaja’s African Hair Braiding”) — while four were nominated in the musical category — Maria Friedman (“Merrily We Roll Along”), Leigh Silverman (“Suffs”) Jessica Stone (“Water for Elephants”) and Danya Taymor (“The Outsiders”). A spring barrage of new shows — 14 shows opened in an 11-day span this year — is not unusual these days as producers hope their work will be fresh in the mind of voters ahead of the Tony Awards ceremony on June 16.

There were some firsts this season, including “Here Lies Love” with Broadway’s first all-Filipino cast, which earned four nominations, including best original score for David Byrne and Fat Boy Slim. And seven openly autistic actors starred in “How to Dance in Ohio,” a first for Broadway but which got no Tony love. Academy Award winner and Tony Award-nominee Ariana DeBose, who hosted both the 2023 and 2022 ceremonies, will be back this year and will produce and choreograph the opening number.

This year’s location — the David H. Koch Theater — is the home of New York City Ballet and in the same sprawling building complex as Lincoln Square Theater, which houses the Broadway venue Beaumont Theater. Like last year, the three-hour main telecast will air on CBS and stream on Paramount+ from 8 p.m.-11 p.m. EDT/5 p.m.-8 p.m. PDT with a pre-show on Pluto TV, and some Tony Awards handed out there. This season’s Broadway numbers — about $1.4 billion in grosses and 11.1 million tickets — is running slightly less than the 2022-23 season, off about 4% in grosses and down 1% in tickets.



source https://time.com/6972672/tony-nominations-2024/

Walmart Launches Store-Label Food Brand to Appeal to Younger Shoppers

Walmart Store Label Food

NEW YORK — Walmart said Tuesday it is launching its biggest store-label food brand in 20 years in terms of its breadth of items, as it seeks to appeal to younger customers who are not brand loyal and want chef-inspired foods that are more affordably priced.

The brand, called Bettergoods, is just hitting Walmart stores and online. By this fall, there will be 300 products, spanning frozen, dairy, snacks, beverages, pasta, soups, coffee, chocolate among others, the retailer said. The prices range from under $2 to under $15, with most products available for under $5.

The launch from the country’s largest retailer comes as inflation has driven shoppers to seek less-expensive alternatives, lifting the popularity of private-label brands. Private brands in food and beverage accounted for nearly 26% of the overall market share in the number of units in that category sold last year, up from 24.7% during the previous year, according to market research firm Circana. That compares with 74.5% for national brands last year, down from 75.3% in 2022.

Walmart’s rivals, including Target, have also been expanding their store labels in food.

”As an industry, we’re seeing younger customers be more brand agnostic, prioritizing quality and value, and driving increased interest in private brands,” said Scott Morris, Walmart’s senior vice president of private brands, food and consumables.



source https://time.com/6972668/walmart-new-food-brand/

2024年4月29日 星期一

Why Your Breakfast Should Start with a Vegetable

Before the pandemic, Barbara Senich, a retiree from Chapel Hill, N.C., was diagnosed with prediabetes, meaning the sugar levels in her blood put her at risk for developing Type 2 diabetes. The source of that blood sugar was sweet foods, grains, and other carbohydrates. She says she thought about them every 30 seconds, leading to constant snacking.

Today, she’s cut her cravings and blood sugar partly by changing how she eats. But Senich didn’t ditch the carbs. She changed the order in which she has them.

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Researchers have recently found that eating certain foods like non-starchy vegetables before carbs may result in lower, healthier blood sugar, compared to having carbs first. Especially at breakfast, these veggie starters also suppress hormones that cause hunger throughout the day.

Carbs aren’t inherently bad. They’re the main energy source for the nervous system and provide fiber that helps with digestion and lowering cholesterol levels. Although carbs are found in some unhealthy foods (think French fries), they’re also plentiful in wholesome options like unprocessed fruits, lentils, and beans that fuel the brain and muscles. With some high-carb foods, though, blood sugar levels, also known as glucose, can climb higher than the ideal range especially if eaten on their own and in excess. If these spikes occur often over the years, our cells stop responding to insulin, the hormone that normally signals the cells to take in glucose for energy use. This problem, called insulin resistance, causes sugar to build up in the blood—a defining feature of diabetes.

About 1 in 3 Americans, or 98 million, have prediabetes—and more than 80% aren’t aware of it. Many will develop Type 2 diabetes, resulting potentially in nerve damage, vision loss, and shorter lives.

But by changing the order in which you eat food, it’s possible to eat your carbs and have your healthy blood sugar, too. It’s free and “doesn’t require superhuman willpower,” Senich says.

Why it works

When we have veggies first, their fiber sets up a filter in the intestines. Once the carbs arrive on the scene, the filter slows them down, like sand catching floodwater, so the glucose enters the bloodstream at a mere trickle instead of a gush. Less insulin is needed for our cells to absorb these drips, putting less strain on the pancreas. “The totality of the research strongly supports the notion that food sequencing does reduce glucose spikes after a meal,” says Dr. Alpana Shukla, an associate professor of research at Weill Cornell Medicine who studies food order.

The strategy could have the biggest payoff in people with prediabetes and diabetes simply because they have higher glucose levels to begin with. But those with normal blood sugar see benefits as well. In one study, when healthy people saved rice for last, their glucose peaks were significantly lower than when they ate rice before meat and vegetables. Over time, more stable glucose could help prevent serious illnesses.

Read More: Your Diet Needs More Fermented Pickles

Another plus for everyone is that when you eat vegetables first, you tend to eat more of them, compared to filling up on carbs before having greens. Many Americans are vitamin-deficient and, on average, we get 10 to 15 grams of fiber per day, whereas our ancestors enjoyed about 100 grams. Switching up the order “tends to favor more nutrient dense foods,” Shukla says, “which is good whether you have health issues or want to prevent them.”

How to have veggie starters

Aim to eat a vegetable 10 minutes before you eat your carbs, though you’ll still see some benefit without taking any break before the carbs, Shukla says. Noosheen Hashemi, founder and CEO of the health-tracking company January AI, keeps her blood sugar levels healthy by bringing vegetables like broccoli, fennel, or peppers to restaurants in her purse, anticipating high-carb dishes. “I carry vegetables,” she says. (TIME’s owner, Marc Benioff, is an investor in January AI.)

It’s not necessary to eat the vegetables by themselves to get the benefits. Combining veggies and protein before carbs results in 46% lower glucose peaks, compared to carbs-first, in people with prediabetes. This combo may work slightly better than veggies alone, according to Shukla.

Another benefit: feeling full for three hours after a meal, because starters with veggies and protein suppress a hormone called ghrelin that causes hunger. We may consume fewer calories as a result. When people have the same meal in the reverse order, with carbs first, this ghrelin hormone rebounds much higher at the three-hour mark.

Read More: Why Is It So Bad to Pop a Pimple?

Eating carbs last turns up another hormone, GLP-1, that slows the rate at which your stomach sends food to the intestines, further easing the burden on our insulin systems. This effect of GLP-1 forms the basis for the blockbuster weight-loss drugs, like Ozempic, that are surging in popularity. “You can harness your own GLP-1 and boost it through this intervention,” Shukla says.

Food order may be particularly useful at breakfast. After not eating overnight, your mealtime glucose could rise higher than at lunch or dinner, Shukla says. Start breakfast with a veggie omelet, she suggests. Mix lots of vegetables with the egg protein before finishing with your carb, one piece of multigrain toast.

“We know that meal ordering across the day has an impact,” says Sarah Berry, associate professor of nutritional sciences at King’s College London and chief scientist at the science and personalized nutrition company ZOE. Unhealthy glucose levels after lunch are partly shaped by whether glucose spiked at breakfast, Berry has found, and carb-heavy cereals and bagels dominate our personal breakfast menus.

For the best results, visualize half your plate covered by vegetables, 25% by protein and, 25% carbs, Shukla says. But a smaller starter can help regulate blood sugar, too, she adds.

“It’s not all or nothing,” says Senich, the North Carolinian. She makes sure baby carrots are always within reach, knowing if she has about ten of them, that’s better than eating carbs only.

As always, it’s good to aim for carbs that are unprocessed, complex, and high-fiber.

Try a protein appetizer

Another option shown to flatten out glucose spikes: a protein primer without vegetables. Getting protein on its own, prior to carbs, can prevent glucose spikes and increase fullness. Before oatmeal, Senich makes sure to have sugar-free Greek yogurt or nuts, both good protein sources. An “almond appetizer” reduces post-meal glucose by 15%.

Joe Sapone, the founder of a consulting business from Atlantic Highlands, N.J., says food sequencing has helped him lose 120 pounds, along with medications. “I’ve gotten in the habit of eating protein first,” he says. He’s a fan of whey protein shakes. “I’m Italian, so food is religion,” Sapone says. “I totally want pasta and bread.” After the shakes, though, less hunger translates into smaller portions.

“Whey is king,” says Daniel West, a Newcastle University professor focusing on nutrition and insulin, because it’s loaded with amino acids that “prime the system” for carbs. Just 15 grams of whey before a meal can improve daily glucose by 10%. Other research shows sustained benefits over 12 weeks.

Hashemi prefers pea protein shakes, another evidence-backed option, West says.

Fruit with relatively low sugar could have some benefit as a preload as well. Because of the high fiber in some whole fruits like strawberries, eating them first, before other types of carbs, may increase the GLP-1 hormone and help to suppress appetite, compared to having the whole fruit last, some studies have found. This effect could support weight loss, but research is mixed on whether consuming fruit first helps to control blood glucose levels. “Preloading with non-starchy vegetables or protein-rich foods is better because they have very little sugar or carbs,” Shukla says.

Prepare for success

If you’re busy, keep veggie starters at your fingertips. Preparation is key. “At the store, I make sure to buy those easy-to-grab vegetables” like cucumbers, Senich says. While cooking carbs, she snacks on chopped-up peppers.

Sapone, who has Type 2 diabetes, prepares almost a week’s worth of healthy foods ahead of time, placing them at eye-level in his refrigerator. He preloads with carrots at his beach club in case the pretzels tempt him. “I’m not a very regimented person,” he says, but he’s “happy” with food order. He’s not alone in that. “Patients swear by food order to support their obesity care,” says Dr. Katherine Saunders, an obesity medicine physician at Weill Cornell Medicine and co-founder of Intellihealth, partly because they can still have carbs. “The best diet is one that doesn’t feel like a diet.”

Read More: Why Walking Isn’t Enough When It Comes to Exercise

Sapone’s enthusiasm was reinforced by his own data. He likes using a continuous glucose monitor to track how carbs on their own spike his glucose numbers, and how preloads help. In addition to dropping his weight and average blood glucose, his cholesterol is down.

Through tech companies like January AI, people can monitor how food order and other factors affect glucose even without using a continuous glucose monitor. Take a photo of your meal, and January AI’s algorithm predicts its post-meal effect based on demographics like your age, body mass index, and disease state.

Food sequencing isn’t a panacea. For obesity and diabetes, it’s most effective when patients also take medications supervised by specialists, as in Sapone’s and Senich’s cases. Further improvements in glucose management come with good sleep, slower eating and regular exercise.

And keep in mind that most studies on veggie starters focus on their immediate effects. More research is needed on long-term outcomes. “We have so many tools in the toolbox,” Berry says. “Meal ordering is just one of those tools.”



source https://time.com/6972041/healthy-breakfast-vegetable/

Biden’s Overlooked Advantage

President Biden Attends White House Correspondents' Association Dinner

In recent months we have heard much about President Biden’s low poll numbers and Americans’ negative views of the economy. It is therefore not surprising that numerous media pundits have rushed to entertain the idea of a Trump victory in 2024.

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Let’s first start with some obvious caveats to keep in mind.

First, a substantial amount of Biden’s lagging approval is coming from his own party: since 2022, between 15 and 22 percent of Democrats have neglected to voice approval for Biden. The present crisis in the Middle East, which has put President Biden at odds with many in the Democratic base, has likely allowed this disapproval to harden even further. But on Election Day, these dissatisfied Democrats—and many Independents as well—will likely look at Biden a little differently when the prospect of another Trump presidency is looming large.

A second fairly obvious caveat is that, with inflation having cooled off a great deal over the past 2 years, Americans’ sentiments about the economy have improved quite dramatically, which can only help Biden’s chances going forward.

But an even more fundamental caveat exists, and it is one that is surprisingly overlooked. Put simply, the fact that Biden has been in office for one term matters.  A lot.

History Repeating? The Case of 2012

In September of 2011, then-President Barack Obama was struggling.  His approval was virtually identical to Biden’s current approval, hovering around 40%. Views of the economy were overwhelmingly negative and polls found Obama losing to one of the then-front-running Republican contenders, Mitt Romney. On the eve of the 2012 election, at least one respected poll had Romney narrowly leading Obama. 

It seemed clear that Americans were ready for a change.

But change is not what happened. Obama handily won the two-party vote share (that is, the total number of votes won by the Democratic and Republican Party candidates) by about 4 percentage points.

Given political scientists’ research on U.S. presidential elections, no one should have been surprised by this outcome. Why? Because in November of 2012 Obama was the incumbent president, just as Biden will be in November of 2024.

The Power of Incumbency

Every presidential election seems unique, but the data don’t lie.  My recent research, conditionally accepted at the peer-reviewed journal, Political Science Research & Methods, looks at all presidential elections since 1952. Despite all the different candidates, national priorities, international challenges, economic conditions, etc. over the past 72 years, incumbent candidates have won the popular vote a remarkable 78% of the time.

These incumbent candidates have averaged 54.5% of the two-party vote share—a massive 9 percentage-point average advantage over their non-incumbent challengers. 

Even if we go back to the first election following the end of the Civil War (1868), the results tell us the same story:  incumbent presidents average well over 50% of the two-party vote share.

This is not to say that incumbency is the only thing that matters.  After all, 2020 saw the incumbent lose the popular vote by 4 percentage points. But given the historic unusualness of that election (the Covid-19 pandemic, skyrocketing unemployment, unprecedented controversies surrounding Trump, etc.), 2020 may be better viewed as an exception that proves the rule.

Indeed, the 2020 and 1980 elections are the only two exceptions to the rule of incumbent victory since 1952 (excluding Bush Sr. in 1992 which, though only his first term, was the Republican Party’s third term in office).  The lesson is clear:  while it is not quite a “guarantee,” incumbency confers an unequivocal advantage.

Isolating Incumbency’s Effect

Political scientists have long known about the power of incumbency when using statistical analyses to forecast election results.  Indeed, aside from the economy, it is one of the most consistently powerful predictors of election outcomes.

But why should it matter?

There are many potential reasons, but my research—which also employed an online experiment featuring several thousand participants—shows that a majority of citizens (Democrats, Independents, and Republicans alike) simply believe that incumbents should generally be elected for a second term.  In short, a president serving only one term (when legally allowed to serve two) just doesn’t seem to sit right with many Americans.

Existence of such a norm in U.S. politics has a huge implication:  simply knowing that a candidate is an incumbent should be enough to nudge a substantial share of voters toward voting for that candidate. 

Indeed, by isolating candidates’ incumbency status from all other considerations (name recognition, the economy, etc.), this is precisely what my experiment finds. Compared to when their incumbency status is not specified, candidates who are identified as the sitting president—whether Democratic or Republican—see an increase of 5.6 percentage-points in vote share. By the standards of modern presidential elections, that is an absolutely game-changing bump.

The Months Ahead

Of course, each election comes with unique features.  The popularity of third-party candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., for example, may disproportionately erode some of Biden’s vote share. Trump’s criminal trial, the widening crisis in the Middle East, whether the Electoral College result will correspond with the popular vote result, and the likelihood that interest rates will remain high to curb inflationary pressures, for example, all introduce a healthy amount of uncertainty into what will happen in November. 

It is also worth noting that Trump is a (former) president who served only one term, meaning that some share of voters may feel he therefore deserves a second term. In short, might some voters see Trump, rather than Biden, as the real incumbent in 2024? 

While this is of course possible, we simply don’t have enough evidence to assume that many voters will think this way come November (the last time sitting president lost reelection and then ran again (and won) was 1892). 

Thus, to the extent voters see Biden as the true incumbent, he is likely to benefit from incumbency advantage. Indeed, a poll from this week finds that Trump’s polling advantage over Biden—an advantage we have heard so much about in recent months—is now gone.  Other recent polling now shows a small, but growing, Biden advantage.

Again, this is not at all to say that Biden’s incumbency guarantees a 2024 win. (There are no such guarantees in U.S. politics.) Rather, it is to say that, statistically, a Biden loss in 2024 would be very strange. Thus, absent some very strange circumstances (for example, as there were during the 2020 election), history implies a clear advantage for Biden.

In sum, presidential elections do not ask voters whether they like the sitting president.  Instead, they ask voters whether they prefer the sitting president over the president’s opponent. Failure to appreciate this difference leads pundits to regularly predict incumbents’ political doom, despite how often incumbent presidents have won reelection over the past 150 years, and despite the intrinsic power that incumbency appears to hold.

To be sure, Biden has weaknesses. So did Obama in 2012. But the asset they shared—incumbency—should not be overlooked. Media’s focus on Biden’s weaknesses might be good for getting clicks, but it ignores his crucial strength.



source https://time.com/6972045/joe-bidens-overlooked-advantage/

Scotland’s First Minister Humza Yousaf Is Reportedly Set to Resign

SNP Conference 2023 - Day Two

Scotland First Minister Humza Yousaf is preparing to quit on Monday after he decided he wouldn’t survive a confidence vote, The Sunday Times reported.

Senior Scottish National Party members were informed of Yousaf’s decision, made over the weekend, the newspaper said. John Swinney has been approached to become interim first minister in the event of Yousaf’s departure, though the former SNP leader is reluctant to step up because of personal reasons, the Times said.

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Yousaf’s position had become increasingly tenuous after he decided to end his party’s power-sharing deal with the Greens last Thursday, saying the cooperation agreement reached after the SNP fell one seat short of a majority in the 2021 election had “served its purpose.”

Read More: Exclusive: Meet the New Face of Scotland

While Yousaf made clear he intends to continue to run Scotland as a minority government, the opposition Conservatives lodged a vote of no-confidence in him that was set to take place this week. The motion was supported also by the opposition Labour and Liberal Democrat parties.

Ahead of a U.K.-wide election expected in the second half of the year, Yousaf had been trying to rebuild the SNP’s image around stable government following a year of turmoil after long-time leader Nicola Sturgeon stepped down. But tensions with the Greens came to a head last week when the government scrapped a plan to cut carbon emissions by 75% by 2030 after concluding it was unachievable.



source https://time.com/6971930/scotland-first-minister-yousaf-resignation/

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